Who's betting on “Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $51K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.8K by 91 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 62% 60 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
Who holds it
91 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $374 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is asdasdasdasdasdasdasd, with $880 on it, $23K lifetime profit over 241 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $595
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$595 on it
- 1Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$374+$298K lifetime
- 20x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-177150851187252% won of 213 · balanced$148+$40K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$17+$255K lifetime
- 4Neverrandom87% won of 585$17−$3.3K lifetime
- 5dropmeplease41% won of 377$7−$14K lifetime
No$6.2K on it
- 1asdasdasdasdasdasdasd76% won of 241 · balanced$880+$23K lifetime
- 2crossx76% won of 173$549−$4.7K lifetime
- 3aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$509+$201K lifetime
- 4shiifoo52% won of 4,735 · whale$405+$46K lifetime
- 5TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$371−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be arrested before 2027?
8 more- Anthony Fauci$228K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Hillary Clinton$61K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Gavin Newsom$43K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- James Comey$38K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: No
- John Brennan$36K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money split
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero$32K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Barack Obama$32K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Adam Schiff$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?"?
91 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 91 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gohst, with $374 on it, $298K lifetime profit over 1,056 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is asdasdasdasdasdasdasd, with $880 on it, $23K lifetime profit over 241 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $51K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 62% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.