Who's betting on “Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $36K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.4K by 108 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 68 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 11 points.
Who holds it
108 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is DirkDiggler67, with $640 on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $1.4K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $6.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 1DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$640+$141K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$396+$203K lifetime
- 3duncjst39% won of 219$149−$3.2K lifetime
- 40xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-176694317017155% won of 51 · balanced$106+$1.7K lifetime
- 5lineth67% won of 662 · whale$89+$91K lifetime
No$6.6K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$1.4K+$38K lifetime
- 2StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$1.0K+$98K lifetime
- 30x91c3…409f45% won of 432$924+$9.1K lifetime
- 4ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$640+$2.3M lifetime
- 5D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$568+$85K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will be arrested before 2027?
8 more- Anthony Fauci$228K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Hillary Clinton$61K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Tom Homan$51K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Gavin Newsom$43K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- James Comey$38K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: No
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero$32K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Barack Obama$32K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Adam Schiff$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?"?
108 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is DirkDiggler67, with $640 on it, $141K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (58% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $1.4K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 80¢, an 80% implied chance of No. $36K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.