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Who's betting on “Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?”?

Politics$61K traded62 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes
98%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 47% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$61K
traded all time
Held now
$11K
by 62 wallets
Smart share · Yes
20%
24 scored holders
Smart share · No
47%
38 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

20% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.

Who holds it

62 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is HoneybeeAlliance, with $184 on it, $56K lifetime loss over 11 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $5.3K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,242 markets (92% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share20% ▲ 17 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 4%a day ago 3%now 20%
Holders
24
Money on it
$275
Holders' win rate
14%
No98%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share47% ▼ 8 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 49%a day ago 55%now 47%
Holders
38
Money on it
$11K
Holders' win rate
81%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$275 on it

  1. 1HoneybeeAlliance0% won of 11$184−$56K lifetime
  2. 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$29+$334K lifetime
  3. 3TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$17−$52K lifetime
  4. 4peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,563 · whale$8+$31K lifetime
  5. 5acc4202049% won of 859 · whale$7+$12K lifetime

No$11K on it

  1. 1Alegrandebig92% won of 1,242$5.3K−$12K lifetime
  2. 2DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$2.0K+$104K lifetime
  3. 3elPolloLoco71% won of 1,154 · whale$1.0K+$588K lifetime
  4. 4Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$551+$801K lifetime
  5. 5Liquidifier49% won of 1,151 · whale$281+$181K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?"?

62 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 62 of them. The largest Yes holder is HoneybeeAlliance, with $184 on it, $56K lifetime loss over 11 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $5.3K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,242 markets (92% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $61K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

20% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 52 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.