Who's betting on “Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $94K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 135 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 90 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $94K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
Who holds it
135 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 135 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $6.4K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,414 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is bigfunky, with $58 on it, $222 lifetime loss over 310 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $274
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16K on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,414 · whale$6.4K+$1.2M lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,267 · whale$2.4K+$64K lifetime
- 3George.Smiley89% won of 248 · whale$1.6K+$57K lifetime
- 4hadarhaddad49% won of 930 · balanced$1.2K+$2.5K lifetime
- 5mewmew164% won of 1,151$984−$16K lifetime
No$274 on it
- 1bigfunky69% won of 310$58−$222 lifetime
- 2gambler92551% won of 535 · whale$56+$6.7K lifetime
- 3Rumpelstiltskin77% won of 195 · balanced$40+$26K lifetime
- 4dedidanc67% won of 267$25−$5.3K lifetime
- 5lissartter56% won of 2,997$18−$287K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?"?
135 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 135 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $6.4K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,414 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is bigfunky, with $58 on it, $222 lifetime loss over 310 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $94K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.