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Who's betting on “Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?”?

Politics$20K traded56 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 27, 2026
11%Yes🧠 smart money
90%No

Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$20K
traded all time
Held now
$2.6K
by 56 wallets
Smart share · Yes
94%
23 scored holders
Smart share · No
63%
33 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

94% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

56 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them.

Yes11%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share94%
7 days ago 72%a day ago 94%now 94%
Holders
23
Money on it
$271
Holders' win rate
42%
No90%
Smart money share63%
7 days ago 72%a day ago 64%now 63%
Holders
33
Money on it
$2.3K
Holders' win rate
73%
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?"?

56 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

94% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.