Who's betting on “Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 71 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
Who holds it
71 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $46 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $1.2K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $230
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$230 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$46+$254K lifetime
- 2HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$40+$325K lifetime
- 30x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$38−$8.4K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$21+$28K lifetime
- 5rocky4201452% won of 1,103 · whale$16+$6.2K lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$1.2K+$38K lifetime
- 2peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$459+$33K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$221−$8.2K lifetime
- 4crossx76% won of 173$199−$4.7K lifetime
- 5Musk571% won of 666$169−$7.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which companies will the US take a stake in?
6 more- Anduril$56K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- TSMC$20K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- OpenAI$13K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Boeing$12K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Samsung Electronics$10K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?"?
71 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $46 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $1.2K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 38 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.