Who's betting on “Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 68 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 102 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 68 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 75 points.
Who holds it
102 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $439 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $2.7K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $801
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$801 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$439−$8.2K lifetime
- 2Garmonbozia73% won of 957$76−$424 lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$71+$254K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$40+$28K lifetime
- 5kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$40+$1.5K lifetime
No$4.5K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$2.7K+$38K lifetime
- 2ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$1.0K+$904K lifetime
- 3Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$229+$173K lifetime
- 4crossx76% won of 173$60−$4.7K lifetime
- 5yyyyyyy80% won of 640$57−$41K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which companies will the US take a stake in?
6 more- TSMC$20K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Nvidia$19K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money split
- OpenAI$13K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Boeing$12K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Samsung Electronics$10K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $439 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $2.7K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 68 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 65 points. A week ago, No by 75 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.