Who's betting on “Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them.
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $348
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which companies will the US take a stake in?
6 more- Anduril$56K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
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- Nvidia$19K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money split
- Boeing$12K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- Samsung Electronics$10K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?$10K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money split
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 27 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.