Who's betting on “Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $426 by 80 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 13% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 51 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
Who holds it
80 wallets hold a position worth $426 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $40 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is lightshield, with $109 on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 220 markets (45% won).
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $228
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $199
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$228 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$40+$334K lifetime
- 2arash.65% won of 46$18−$1.7K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$18+$27K lifetime
- 40x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$14+$8.7K lifetime
- 5awgraewrfa100% won of 5$13−$189 lifetime
No$199 on it
- 1lightshield45% won of 220$109−$2.8K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,114$18−$48K lifetime
- 3gordostimberos93% won of 67$18−$89 lifetime
- 4kellynia78% won of 51$10−$79 lifetime
- 50x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-178045795406596% won of 1,745 · grinder$9+$749 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4 more- 3.5–3.9%$62K vol.Yes 57%No 43%Smart money: Yes
- 2.5–2.9%$24K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0–2.4%$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 4.5%+$10K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money split
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$946K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?"?
80 wallets hold a position worth $426 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 80 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $40 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is lightshield, with $109 on it, $2.8K lifetime loss over 220 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 51 points. A week ago, Yes by 57 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.