
Who's betting on “Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 67% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $491 by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 54% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $491 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $12 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $174 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $12 on Yes.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $70
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $12
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $421
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$70 on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$12+$244K lifetime
- 2Mithrandir.90% won of 556 · whale$11+$11K lifetime
- 30x4ca94a83BDbA25336C69807cceF4ff34F5D17aa1-178271730876244% won of 137$7−$789 lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$6−$485K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$5+$255K lifetime
No$421 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$174+$163K lifetime
- 2samponcuochi73% won of 200$102−$5.0K lifetime
- 3brensilva70% won of 20$53−$1.1K lifetime
- 4Za-Loopa100% won of 29$50+$9 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,201$19−$49K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4 more- 3.5–3.9%$62K vol.Yes 57%No 43%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0–2.4%$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 4.0-4.4%$16K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- 4.5%+$10K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$952K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $491 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is FrozenParasite, with $12 on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $174 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,906 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 54% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.