Who's betting on “Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $62K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.4K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $296 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $77 on No.
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $946
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $77
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.6K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.4K+$203K lifetime
- 2sabsabinxz70% won of 99 · whale$254+$84K lifetime
- 3trx167% won of 578$188−$5.9K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$185+$334K lifetime
- 5BikesAreTheBikes65% won of 1,351 · whale$80+$101K lifetime
No$946 on it
- 10x49F20662% won of 862$296−$41K lifetime
- 20x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-179244949675485% won of 13$158+$8.7K lifetime
- 3Mithrandir.90% won of 556 · whale$86+$11K lifetime
- 4FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$77+$244K lifetime
- 5MarlaSinger199934% won of 719 · noise$43+$6.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4 more- 2.5–2.9%$24K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0–2.4%$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 4.0-4.4%$16K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- 4.5%+$10K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.4K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0x49F206, with $296 on it, $41K lifetime loss over 862 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 57¢ and No at 43¢, a 57% implied chance of Yes. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 21, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 21, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.