Who's betting on “Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 58 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 37% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 66¢ and No at 35¢, a 66% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is cosmicsteaks, with $435 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 4,326 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is qqqmmmccc, with $467 on it, $955 lifetime loss over 223 markets (83% won).
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1cosmicsteaks47% won of 4,326 · whale$435+$8.2K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$393+$48K lifetime
- 3bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$348+$198K lifetime
- 4KimchiCapital76% won of 514 · balanced$237+$37K lifetime
- 50xf27dc56% won of 279 · balanced$203+$14K lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1qqqmmmccc83% won of 223$467−$955 lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$152+$203K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$121−$8.2K lifetime
- 4G.Hchen44% won of 239 · noise$103+$22K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$72+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate races will be within 5%?
3 more- Texas$31K vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota$14K vol.Yes 24%No 76%Smart money: No
- Iowa$14K vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is cosmicsteaks, with $435 on it, $8.2K lifetime profit over 4,326 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is qqqmmmccc, with $467 on it, $955 lifetime loss over 223 markets (83% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 66¢ and No at 35¢, a 66% implied chance of Yes. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 37% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.