Who's betting on “Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.0K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 24 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $531 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $1.6K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $950
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$950 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$531+$203K lifetime
- 2Contradict97% won of 35$96−$10K lifetime
- 30xcBdfF20C9ec923cb9fe2572B179C1033304E6a49-176171584942957% won of 30$66−$285 lifetime
- 4BetterFish61% won of 740 · whale$53+$35K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$49−$377K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$1.6K+$198K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$529+$48K lifetime
- 30xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl80% won of 1,104 · balanced$372+$28K lifetime
- 4sollydisa57% won of 176 · balanced$157+$6.4K lifetime
- 5cooljit74% won of 725$128−$13K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which Senate races will be within 5%?
3 more- Texas$31K vol.Yes 76%No 25%Smart money: Yes
- Iowa$14K vol.Yes 70%No 30%Smart money split
- Ohio (Special)$10K vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $531 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $1.6K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.