polkyo
Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?”?

Politics$14K traded48 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
70%Yes
30%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$14K
traded all time
Held now
$4.0K
by 48 wallets
Smart share · Yes
63%
21 scored holders
Smart share · No
63%
27 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

63% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

48 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is sciuboi, with $615 on it, $246K lifetime profit over 645 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is qqqmmmccc, with $396 on it, $955 lifetime loss over 223 markets (83% won).

Yes70%
Smart money share63%
7 days ago 54%a day ago 63%now 63%
Holders
21
Money on it
$2.8K
Holders' win rate
57%
No30%
Smart money share63%
7 days ago 58%a day ago 63%now 63%
Holders
27
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.8K on it

  1. 1sciuboi60% won of 645 · whale$615+$246K lifetime
  2. 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$522+$203K lifetime
  3. 350degrees55% won of 20$513−$1.3K lifetime
  4. 4bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$350+$198K lifetime
  5. 5PavtheGreat51% won of 296$315−$2.4K lifetime

No$1.2K on it

  1. 1qqqmmmccc83% won of 223$396−$955 lifetime
  2. 20x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-173522719331873% won of 112 · balanced$255+$20K lifetime
  3. 30xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d65% won of 312 · whale$240+$31K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$132+$255K lifetime
  5. 5bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$43+$5.1K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

More markets in Which Senate races will be within 5%?

3 more
Who's betting on Which Senate races will be within 5%? →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?"?

48 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is sciuboi, with $615 on it, $246K lifetime profit over 645 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is qqqmmmccc, with $396 on it, $955 lifetime loss over 223 markets (83% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 70¢ and No at 30¢, a 70% implied chance of Yes. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

63% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.