Who's betting on “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.0K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is notssf3, with $224 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 218 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is hwey346ed, with $1.7K on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 18 markets (94% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $135 on No.
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $352
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 1 · $135
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$352 on it
- 1notssf367% won of 218 · whale$224+$73K lifetime
- 2outcomes42% won of 234 · noise$32+$15K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$28+$254K lifetime
- 4thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$14+$10K lifetime
- 5FDSft70% won of 80 · balanced$14+$409 lifetime
No$4.7K on it
- 1hwey346ed94% won of 18$1.7K+$1.2K lifetime
- 2dedidanc67% won of 267$1.6K−$5.3K lifetime
- 3Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$699+$104K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,066$169−$49K lifetime
- 5JokerTheClown67% won of 1,703 · sniper$135+$94K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
5 more- October 31$183K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$207K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 15$48K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 9$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- October 23$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is notssf3, with $224 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 218 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is hwey346ed, with $1.7K on it, $1.2K lifetime profit over 18 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.