Who's betting on “Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 10 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is lamyk, with $1.2K on it, $20K lifetime profit over 323 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $201 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.4K on it
- 1lamyk59% won of 323 · balanced$1.2K+$20K lifetime
- 2Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$58−$20K lifetime
- 30xwordjnn9% won of 965$43−$23K lifetime
- 4valpari24% won of 42$29−$102 lifetime
- 50xd2d3E93862A6033d9648ef915B1525865c777bb3-178989842045444% won of 725$22−$436 lifetime
No$1.0K on it
- 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$201+$97K lifetime
- 2hfv42% won of 44,595$175−$143K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$119+$255K lifetime
- 4molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$90+$46K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$79+$325K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is lamyk, with $1.2K on it, $20K lifetime profit over 323 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is iutwpfal, with $201 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.