Who's betting on “Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 86 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 23, 2026. $32K has been traded on it.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
86 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them.
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $280
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
3 more- 1440+$48K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 1420+$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 1460+$28K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 40%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?"?
86 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 85 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?"?
This market closed on October 23, 2026. $32K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 23, 2026. $32K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.