Who's betting on “Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $49K traded all time
- Held now
- $369 by 29 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 19 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 23, 2026.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
29 wallets hold a position worth $369 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them.
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $361
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
2 more- October 15$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- September 30$13K vol. · ClosedYes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?"?
29 wallets hold a position worth $369 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 29 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $49K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 23, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 23, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.