Who's betting on “Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.9K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $16K has been traded on it.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them.
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $34
- Holders' win rate
- 32%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
2 more- September 23$49K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- September 30$13K vol. · ClosedYes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Other big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $16K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $16K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.