Who's betting on “Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $53 by 100 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 100 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - not scored yet
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
Polkyo has not scored enough of this market's holders yet to say where the profitable money sits.
Who holds it
100 wallets hold a position worth $53 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $8 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 86,904 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $53
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
Nobody the scanner covers holds No yet. Every tracked dollar is on the other side.
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$53 on it
- 1donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$8+$829K lifetime
- 2e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$7+$964K lifetime
- 3kod.cip0% won of 25$5−$7.8K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$5+$1.2M lifetime
- 5Bigggggggg47% won of 7,350 · whale$4+$668K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
4 more- No change$295K vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- 25 bps increase$225K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 50+ bps increase$86K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps decrease$36K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?"?
100 wallets hold a position worth $53 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $8 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 86,904 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
Polkyo has not scored enough of this market's holders yet to say where the profitable money sits.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.