Who's betting on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 54 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them.
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $863
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
10 more- Below 3.8%$66K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Below 3.9%$58K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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- Below 1.0%$41K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Below 4.6%$34K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Below 4.4%$28K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Below 4.5%$26K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Below 4.1%$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Below 3.6%$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?"?
54 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 31¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.