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Who's betting on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?”?

Politics$41K traded36 holdersEnds December 31, 2026Updated October 27, 2026
1%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$41K
traded all time
Held now
$740
by 36 wallets
Smart share · Yes
53%
19 scored holders
Smart share · No
80%
17 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

The smart money

53% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

Who holds it

36 wallets hold a position worth $740 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them.

Yes1%
Smart money share53%
7 days ago 53%a day ago 53%now 53%
Holders
19
Money on it
$11
Holders' win rate
58%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share80%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 80%now 80%
Holders
17
Money on it
$729
Holders' win rate
75%
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?"?

36 wallets hold a position worth $740 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

53% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.