Who's betting on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $58K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.4K by 108 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $58K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
Who holds it
108 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them.
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $149
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
10 more- Below 3.8%$66K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Below 3.5%$44K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Below 1.0%$41K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Below 3.7%$39K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Below 4.6%$34K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Below 4.4%$28K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Below 4.5%$26K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- Below 4.7%$24K vol.Yes 31%No 69%Smart money split
- Below 4.1%$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Below 3.6%$13K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?"?
108 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $58K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.