Who's betting on “Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $67K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 168 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 79 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 56% 87 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
Who holds it
168 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nevermarginal, with $463 on it, $440 lifetime profit over 8 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Lk7600, with $2.8K on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 25 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 88
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.5K on it
- 1Nevermarginal50% won of 8$463+$440 lifetime
- 2fatwang2100% won of 1$321+$4 lifetime
- 3doubtit60% won of 207$311−$1.0K lifetime
- 4mylee3148% won of 201 · balanced$289+$1.5K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$163+$335K lifetime
No$16K on it
- 1Lk760068% won of 25 · balanced$2.8K+$2.5K lifetime
- 2toast.....59% won of 202$2.1K−$31K lifetime
- 3Besserwisser85% won of 48$1.8K−$380 lifetime
- 4Red781RuM57% won of 1,026 · whale$1.4K+$37K lifetime
- 5lassenstr88% won of 25$1.3K−$265 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 41%No 60%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?"?
168 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nevermarginal, with $463 on it, $440 lifetime profit over 8 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Lk7600, with $2.8K on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 25 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.