Who's betting on “Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 76 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points.
Who holds it
76 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is janu, with $142 on it, $45 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Lk7600, with $1.1K on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 25 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $518
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$518 on it
- 1janu100% won of 1$142−$45 lifetime
- 2teru38% won of 21 · noise$129+$79 lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,322 · noise$69+$254K lifetime
- 4abraham7882% won of 200$55−$5.5K lifetime
- 5xvc347y33% won of 202$19−$1.8K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1Lk760068% won of 25 · balanced$1.1K+$2.5K lifetime
- 2TheKinginYellow61% won of 235 · whale$491+$10K lifetime
- 30x7cad…2890no record yet$381
- 40x84fE37817a9797761d141977d0F12043F75B1222-177163297407783% won of 52 · balanced$211+$245 lifetime
- 5TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$142−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?"?
76 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is janu, with $142 on it, $45 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Lk7600, with $1.1K on it, $2.5K lifetime profit over 25 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.