Who's betting on “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $59K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 73 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
73 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is AllByMyseIf, with $10K on it, $573K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (86% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $42 on Yes.
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $42
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.2K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.3K+$203K lifetime
- 2khonikdev91% won of 474$216−$35K lifetime
- 30x225b7c9Aaf6108deD29b9fdA9939aA671Ef6422A-175659155841464% won of 213 · whale$120+$20K lifetime
- 4coockroach158% won of 105 · outlier$72+$39K lifetime
- 5Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$67+$801K lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1AllByMyseIf86% won of 1,040 · whale$10K+$573K lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$707−$59K lifetime
- 3Red781RuM57% won of 1,026 · whale$440+$37K lifetime
- 4chaoticgod50% won of 222 · whale$291+$1.6K lifetime
- 5Chims82% won of 1,288 · whale$264+$83K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
3 more- Avengers: Doomsday$60K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- The Odyssey$57K vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money: Yes
- Obsession$25K vol.Yes 49%No 52%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?"?
73 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 73 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is AllByMyseIf, with $10K on it, $573K lifetime profit over 1,040 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.