Who's betting on “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.1K by 67 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
Who holds it
67 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is thebam, with $3 on it, $5.2K lifetime loss over 109 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 1walrus, with $1.7K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $8.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8 on it
- 1thebam67% won of 109$3−$5.2K lifetime
- 2youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$1−$6.5K lifetime
- 3thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$1+$10K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,324 · noise$0+$254K lifetime
- 5Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$0+$1.1K lifetime
No$8.1K on it
- 11walrus60% won of 1,303 · whale$1.7K+$38K lifetime
- 2Blowme_Wan_Kenobi100% won of 4$1.1K+$1.5K lifetime
- 3DeverNoom69% won of 294 · balanced$1.1K+$6.3K lifetime
- 4SK999-59195% won of 40 · grinder$927+$110 lifetime
- 5bread-pitt100% won of 2$488+$333 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?"?
67 wallets hold a position worth $8.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is thebam, with $3 on it, $5.2K lifetime loss over 109 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is 1walrus, with $1.7K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,303 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 48 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.