Who's betting on “Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.7K by 96 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 74 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points.
Who holds it
96 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658, with $4 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 33,270 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $916 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 77
- Money on it
- $27
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$27 on it
- 10x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-17788117736588% won of 33,270 · noise$4+$27K lifetime
- 2qwen300.fund33% won of 129,680 · noise$4+$593K lifetime
- 3e46m347% won of 87,763 · whale$3+$964K lifetime
- 4Lucerys41% won of 129,969 · whale$3+$287K lifetime
- 5graynotebook1927% won of 23,782 · noise$1+$74K lifetime
No$1.7K on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$916+$170K lifetime
- 2056166% won of 543 · whale$200+$23K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$181+$334K lifetime
- 4melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$100+$56K lifetime
- 5iliabouchouev100% won of 5,439 · whale$100+$19K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
7 more- Together$289K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: No
- Joint List$118K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Otzma Yehudit$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Yashar$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- The Democrats$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Likud$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- RZP-Zehut$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
96 wallets hold a position worth $1.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658, with $4 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 33,270 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $916 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Shas win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.