Who's betting on “Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.4K by 99 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 82 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 12% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points.
Who holds it
99 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658, with $4 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 33,270 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $803 on it, $50K lifetime loss over 48,939 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $27
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$27 on it
- 10x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-17788117736588% won of 33,270 · noise$4+$27K lifetime
- 2qwen300.fund33% won of 129,680 · noise$4+$593K lifetime
- 3Lucerys41% won of 129,969 · whale$3+$287K lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,763 · whale$2+$964K lifetime
- 5graynotebook1927% won of 23,782 · noise$1+$74K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 48,939$803−$50K lifetime
- 2Late4CakeJohn99% won of 571$223−$58 lifetime
- 3Wolfgold91% won of 307$108−$496 lifetime
- 4iliabouchouev100% won of 5,439 · whale$99+$19K lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,255 · whale$37+$7.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
7 more- Together$289K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: No
- Joint List$118K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Otzma Yehudit$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Yashar$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- The Democrats$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shas$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- RZP-Zehut$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
99 wallets hold a position worth $1.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658, with $4 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 33,270 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $803 on it, $50K lifetime loss over 48,939 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 75 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.