Who's betting on “Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $35K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 130 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 85 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points.
Who holds it
130 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658, with $4 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 33,270 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $769 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $514 on No.
- Holders
- 94
- Money on it
- $27
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $514
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$27 on it
- 10x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-17788117736588% won of 33,270 · noise$4+$27K lifetime
- 2qwen300.fund33% won of 129,680 · noise$4+$593K lifetime
- 3Lucerys41% won of 129,969 · whale$3+$287K lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,763 · whale$2+$964K lifetime
- 5graynotebook1927% won of 23,782 · noise$1+$74K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$769+$170K lifetime
- 2TheOne77793% won of 381 · sniper$514+$16K lifetime
- 3HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$226+$179K lifetime
- 4neverhackme31% won of 14,803 · noise$151+$7.9K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,689$101−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
7 more- Together$289K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: No
- Joint List$118K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Yashar$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- The Democrats$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Likud$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shas$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- RZP-Zehut$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
130 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658, with $4 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 33,270 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $769 on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $35K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.