Who's betting on “Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 76 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $118K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 142 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 100 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 15% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points.
Who holds it
142 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $3.0K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is SuperFake, with $6.3K on it, $7.2K lifetime loss over 1,120 markets (80% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $33 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $65 on No.
- Holders
- 104
- Money on it
- $8.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 1 · $33
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $8.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 1 · $65
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$8.0K on it
- 10xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-173083163767946% won of 35 · noise$3.0K+$91K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$769+$1.2M lifetime
- 30x75003de792a09a4D0345913BaF9C63d08Faa567f-176383680226870% won of 248 · whale$442+$4.1K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$357+$334K lifetime
- 5JohnLKellyJr68% won of 1,954 · whale$320+$120K lifetime
No$8.5K on it
- 1SuperFake80% won of 1,120$6.3K−$7.2K lifetime
- 2Addarash64% won of 360$366−$68K lifetime
- 3Glicha71% won of 265 · balanced$348+$4.0K lifetime
- 4MultiQuant24hAgent68% won of 31 · balanced$331+$2.8K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 48,927$244−$50K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
7 more- Together$289K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: No
- Otzma Yehudit$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Yashar$26K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- The Democrats$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Likud$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shas$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- RZP-Zehut$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
142 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $3.0K on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is SuperFake, with $6.3K on it, $7.2K lifetime loss over 1,120 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 15% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 76 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.