Who's betting on “Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?”?
Politics · $15K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
34% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 62 points.
61 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $176 on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 2,292 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Jjw, with $2.5K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 243 markets (72% won).
- Smart money share
- 34%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $500
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 90%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| macrosteaks | $176 | -$6.8K | 65% of 2,292 |
| jsjr | $83 | -$20K | 57% of 279 |
| cowcatwhale | $74 | +$45K | 68% of 1,058 |
| computewhale | $44 | +$8.7K | 56% of 288 |
| Chandaria | $32 | -$18K | 33% of 18 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jjwwhale | $2.5K | +$11K | 72% of 243 |
| QMG-COREwhale | $2.1K | +$87K | 73% of 1,173 |
| Olcanwhale | $416 | +$45K | 81% of 496 |
| theitaliangoats | $398 | -$359 | 87% of 143 |
| DEGENKHANwhale | $284 | +$105K | 74% of 1,139 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
- Kash Patel$311K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Hegseth$140K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: No
- Howard Lutnick$101K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Kristi Noem$99K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money split
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$93K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Susie Wiles$66K vol.Yes 38%No 63%Smart money: No
- Lee Zeldin$35K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Marco Rubio$25K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- David Sacks$10K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
Who's betting on Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $176 on it, $6.8K lifetime loss over 2,292 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is Jjw, with $2.5K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 243 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
34% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 62 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.