Who's betting on “Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?”?

Politics · $99K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 13, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

81% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.

153 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 153 of them.

Yes28%
Smart money share
81%
Holders
90
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' winrate
60%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No72%
Smart money share
81%
Holders
63
Money on it
$4.2K
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

153 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 153 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $99K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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