Who's betting on “Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?”?

Politics · $25K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

60% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.

89 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $293 on it, $45K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Jjw, with $2.0K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 243 markets (72% won).

Yes8%
Smart money share
60%
Holders
44
Money on it
$557
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No93%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
78%
Holders
45
Money on it
$6.9K
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
cowcatwhale$293+$45K68% of 1,058
webayer$83+$0-
Chandaria$28-$18K33% of 18
peterbet$22-$19262% of 39
macrosteaks$19-$6.8K65% of 2,292
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Jjwwhale$2.0K+$11K72% of 243
Tenebrus7whale$1.1K+$155K66% of 1,516
4751346whale$694+$167K72% of 1,102
theitaliangoats$512-$35987% of 143
Anon5566$436-$52K65% of 304
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

89 wallets hold a position worth $7.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $293 on it, $45K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Jjw, with $2.0K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 243 markets (72% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

60% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo