Who's betting on “Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?”?
Politics · $101K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $101K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
81% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
145 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $1.1K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Serega-pro, with $1.8K on it, $33K lifetime loss over 735 markets (59% won).
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 67
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| cowcatwhale | $1.1K | +$45K | 68% of 1,058 |
| macrosteaks | $113 | -$6.8K | 65% of 2,292 |
| Rossosh | $90 | -$2.7K | 61% of 46 |
| Snoopyfanwhale | $89 | +$30K | 80% of 211 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasdbalanced | $72 | +$23K | 76% of 233 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serega-pro | $1.8K | -$33K | 59% of 735 |
| Jep-Gwhale | $1.7K | +$100K | 52% of 1,047 |
| zxdfbdfgngcxvwhale | $1.7K | +$97K | 77% of 1,171 |
| ChetterHumminwhale | $894 | +$103 | 98% of 200 |
| Slight-Vineyard | $866 | -$102K | 65% of 104 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
- Kash Patel$311K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Hegseth$140K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: No
- Kristi Noem$99K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money split
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$93K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money: No
- Susie Wiles$66K vol.Yes 38%No 63%Smart money: No
- Lee Zeldin$35K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Marco Rubio$25K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- Scott Bessent$15K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- David Sacks$10K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
Who's betting on Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?
145 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $1.1K on it, $45K lifetime profit over 1,058 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is Serega-pro, with $1.8K on it, $33K lifetime loss over 735 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $101K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.