Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $214K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 164 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 107 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $214K has been traded on it.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
164 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 164 of them.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $7
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 107
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
3 more- December 31$201K vol.Yes 8%No 93%Smart money: No
- March 31, 2027$92K vol.Yes 24%No 77%Smart money: No
- June 30, 2027$14K vol.Yes 54%No 46%Smart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?"?
164 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 164 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $214K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $214K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.