Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $124K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.7K by 159 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 101 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $124K has been traded on it.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
159 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them.
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 101
- Money on it
- $6.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
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- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?"?
159 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $124K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $124K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.