Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 46 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 30 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rybkaoi, with $1.3K on it, $12K lifetime profit over 231 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is leCommissaire, with $256 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 455 markets (55% won).
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $1.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.8K on it
- 1Rybkaoi64% won of 231 · balanced$1.3K+$12K lifetime
- 2vendeurdejamon35% won of 55$138−$134 lifetime
- 3-BOB-100% won of 8$111+$459 lifetime
- 4Tallguy252746% won of 25,234$52−$24K lifetime
- 5Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,881$41−$20K lifetime
No$1.3K on it
- 1leCommissaire55% won of 455 · whale$256+$104K lifetime
- 2GaioMario73% won of 223 · balanced$241+$11K lifetime
- 3Gladius766% won of 250 · balanced$161+$33K lifetime
- 4asterley77% won of 291 · balanced$108+$850 lifetime
- 5yetiyetiyeti82% won of 213 · balanced$108+$789 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$17M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.4M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 12%No 89%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?"?
46 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 46 of them. The largest Yes holder is Rybkaoi, with $1.3K on it, $12K lifetime profit over 231 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is leCommissaire, with $256 on it, $104K lifetime profit over 455 markets (55% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 58¢ and No at 42¢, a 58% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.