Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 40 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.8K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $7.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is MrBlackistone, with $66 on it, $531 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is CompulsiveGambler, with $2.1K on it, $74K lifetime profit over 1,049 markets (69% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $184
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $7.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$184 on it
- 1MrBlackistoneno record yet$66−$531 lifetime
- 2baklavam33% won of 3$44+$38 lifetime
- 3Porx84% won of 411 · whale$21+$106K lifetime
- 4vij100% won of 1$17−$1.3K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$10−$485K lifetime
No$7.7K on it
- 1CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$2.1K+$74K lifetime
- 2bifurcatio77% won of 117 · balanced$1.0K+$3.5K lifetime
- 3ProxyOne58% won of 111$1.0K−$816 lifetime
- 4leCommissaire55% won of 453 · whale$835+$104K lifetime
- 5SubashChandraBose73% won of 347 · balanced$567+$18K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $7.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is MrBlackistone, with $66 on it, $531 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is CompulsiveGambler, with $2.1K on it, $74K lifetime profit over 1,049 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.