Who's betting on “Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 57 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $89K traded all time
- Held now
- $38K by 155 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 83 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
155 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 154 of them. The largest Yes holder is Suprasapiens, with $1.5K on it, $645 lifetime loss over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $7.0K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $184 on No.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $6.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $31K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $184
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.9K on it
- 1Suprasapiens59% won of 32$1.5K−$645 lifetime
- 2DumplingBMF70% won of 1,239 · whale$1.3K+$260K lifetime
- 3MrBlackistoneno record yet$810−$531 lifetime
- 4Phenium84% won of 207$337−$20K lifetime
- 5ElsaMi70% won of 415$316−$34K lifetime
No$31K on it
- 1KrackenSruster66% won of 907 · whale$7.0K+$274K lifetime
- 2CompulsiveGambler69% won of 1,049 · whale$6.1K+$74K lifetime
- 3GaioMario73% won of 223 · balanced$5.0K+$11K lifetime
- 4Gladius766% won of 249 · balanced$4.3K+$33K lifetime
- 5DoubleAgentKrasnov84% won of 218 · balanced$2.1K+$5.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?"?
155 wallets hold a position worth $38K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 154 of them. The largest Yes holder is Suprasapiens, with $1.5K on it, $645 lifetime loss over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $7.0K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $89K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 57 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.