Who's betting on “Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?”?
Politics · $270K volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $270K has been traded on it.
43% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
243 wallets hold a position worth $79K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 243 of them.
- Smart money share
- 43%
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $39
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 55%
- Holders
- 152
- Money on it
- $79K
- Holders' winrate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
- December 31$1.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- October 31$90K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- June 30, 2027$77K vol.Yes 59%No 42%Smart money: No
- March 31, 2027$35K vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: No
Who's betting on Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?"?
243 wallets hold a position worth $79K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 243 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $270K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $270K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.