Who's betting on “Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $265K traded all time
- Held now
- $78K by 258 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 145 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 112 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $265K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
258 wallets hold a position worth $78K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 257 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2number9, with $43 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is thoodr, with $19K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 145
- Money on it
- $352
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 113
- Money on it
- $78K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$352 on it
- 12number9no record yet$43+$0 lifetime
- 2Te0n261% won of 836 · whale$25+$43K lifetime
- 3vonPommern44% won of 200$20−$3.1K lifetime
- 4SlavaSychev133750% won of 2$17+$4 lifetime
- 5markmattersoon26% won of 38$16−$1.9K lifetime
No$78K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$19K+$100K lifetime
- 2segment369% won of 13$9.8K−$50K lifetime
- 3XAE12Archangel75% won of 1,080 · whale$7.7K+$222K lifetime
- 4vladius340% won of 479$3.8K−$1.8K lifetime
- 5Appppping54% won of 54$3.8K−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
2 more- December 31$175K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$163K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?"?
258 wallets hold a position worth $78K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 257 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2number9, with $43 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is thoodr, with $19K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $265K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.