Who's betting on “Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $175K traded all time
- Held now
- $47K by 295 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 151 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 144 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $175K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
Who holds it
295 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 295 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-1773587440475, with $848 on it, $3.4K lifetime profit over 67 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is XAE12Archangel, with $5.4K on it, $222K lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 151
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 144
- Money on it
- $42K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.4K on it
- 10x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-177358744047536% won of 67 · noise$848+$3.4K lifetime
- 20x0783394efa16F95337B8E64da753Ccf9dbD74385-176777367059713% won of 8$584+$162 lifetime
- 3TralaleloTralalala62% won of 814 · balanced$247+$42K lifetime
- 4alfachermander75% won of 4$167−$611 lifetime
- 5Poopek72% won of 198 · balanced$156+$3.2K lifetime
No$42K on it
- 1XAE12Archangel75% won of 1,080 · whale$5.4K+$222K lifetime
- 2ourdemocracy83% won of 562 · whale$4.5K+$3.9K lifetime
- 3Serega-pro59% won of 736$3.1K−$34K lifetime
- 4ReedUpdatee43% won of 129$1.6K−$22K lifetime
- 50x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$1.5K−$8.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
2 more- October 31$265K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- September 30$163K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?"?
295 wallets hold a position worth $47K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 295 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x00c049827Eb3206e63FbFF1C442132c454324610-1773587440475, with $848 on it, $3.4K lifetime profit over 67 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is XAE12Archangel, with $5.4K on it, $222K lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $175K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.