Who's betting on “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?”?
Geopolitics · $89K volume · Closed · Updated October 16, 2026
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $89K has been traded on it.
93% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 90 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 90 points.
74 wallets hold a position worth $970 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them.
- Smart money share
- 93%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $22
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 4% ▼ 75 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $949
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
- October 31$2.1M vol.Yes 100%No 0%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$182K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- December 31$93K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- November 30$90K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
Who's betting on Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...? →
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.4M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?"?
74 wallets hold a position worth $970 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?"?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $89K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
93% of the money on Yes and 4% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 90 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 90 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 16, 2026 and resolved No. $89K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.