Who's betting on “Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $211 by 65 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 56 points.
Who holds it
65 wallets hold a position worth $211 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $18 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x6b25…7a69, with $149 on it, $20K lifetime profit over 2,134 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $49
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $162
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$49 on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$18−$4.7M lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$3+$828K lifetime
- 3MANUSA47% won of 45$3−$977 lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$3+$203K lifetime
- 55207418gravoboi318798no record yet$2−$499 lifetime
No$162 on it
- 10x6b25…7a6952% won of 2,134 · whale$149+$20K lifetime
- 2ghorrock64% won of 33,255 · whale$10+$7.0K lifetime
- 3Spectrum76% won of 487 · whale$3+$9.0K lifetime
- 40xE8C6C48e73811aEB5340998ca00662eb696Bf7F6-178302546696041% won of 3,686$0−$1.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lima Mayoral Election Winner
7 more- Rafael López Aliaga$192K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: Yes
- Francis James Allison Oyague$173K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca$96K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Samuel Marcos Daza Taype$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Yehude Simón Munaro$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?"?
65 wallets hold a position worth $211 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 65 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $18 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is 0x6b25…7a69, with $149 on it, $20K lifetime profit over 2,134 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 56 points. A week ago, No by 56 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.