Who's betting on “Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 41% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $96K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.0K by 175 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 134 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 10% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $96K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 10% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
Who holds it
175 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2C98691737A564541dd13EC5ecff31c58d7D8B82-1775959477342, with $16 on it, $3.2K lifetime loss over 3 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is AZwater, with $2.4K on it, $57K lifetime loss over 220 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 134
- Money on it
- $91
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$91 on it
- 10x2C98691737A564541dd13EC5ecff31c58d7D8B82-177595947734233% won of 3$16−$3.2K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$12−$4.7M lifetime
- 3Sdelmasc78% won of 9$8+$882 lifetime
- 4BabyGroot70% won of 888 · whale$6+$59K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,759 · noise$3+$27K lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1AZwater95% won of 220$2.4K−$57K lifetime
- 2DuneMentat75% won of 834$504−$12K lifetime
- 3spacexstar60% won of 902$169−$1.0K lifetime
- 40x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-178340600939647% won of 78,035$145−$4.0M lifetime
- 50x3C418B8f03169cAe9465bb0D20851E56098d3c14-175239754551548% won of 27 · noise$101+$1.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lima Mayoral Election Winner
7 more- Rafael López Aliaga$192K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: Yes
- Francis James Allison Oyague$173K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Samuel Marcos Daza Taype$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Yehude Simón Munaro$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?"?
175 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2C98691737A564541dd13EC5ecff31c58d7D8B82-1775959477342, with $16 on it, $3.2K lifetime loss over 3 markets (33% won). The largest No holder is AZwater, with $2.4K on it, $57K lifetime loss over 220 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $96K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 10% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 32 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.