Who's betting on “Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 46% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $173K traded all time
- Held now
- $19K by 204 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 33% 129 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 75 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $173K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
The smart money
33% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
204 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 204 of them. The largest Yes holder is Henrysal, with $276 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is 0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036, with $4.2K on it, $65K lifetime profit over 311 markets (82% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $587 on No.
- Holders
- 129
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
- Snipers
- 1 · $587
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1Henrysalno record yet$276+$0 lifetime
- 2josephjb009no record yet$209+$0 lifetime
- 3lastsovietspy100% won of 1$203+$1.9K lifetime
- 4AGUILA3300no record yet$97+$0 lifetime
- 5BabyGroot70% won of 888 · whale$94+$59K lifetime
No$17K on it
- 10x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-176403152503682% won of 311 · whale$4.2K+$65K lifetime
- 20xE5731fCeD4aaAF53efc340b0Ed312Ad795B10A38-178069390842594% won of 118$3.8K−$2.8K lifetime
- 3AZwater95% won of 220$1.8K−$57K lifetime
- 4Josecito66675% won of 174 · balanced$1.8K+$203 lifetime
- 5WhoseHouseRamsHouse96% won of 914$1.6K−$26K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Lima Mayoral Election Winner
7 more- Rafael López Aliaga$192K vol.Yes 83%No 17%Smart money: Yes
- Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca$96K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Samuel Marcos Daza Taype$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera$18K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué$12K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Yehude Simón Munaro$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?"?
204 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 204 of them. The largest Yes holder is Henrysal, with $276 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is 0x963137a0BA0B02EBf6F37710023Cc1B0303289A1-1764031525036, with $4.2K on it, $65K lifetime profit over 311 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $173K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
33% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.