Who's betting on “Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $943 by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 41% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $943 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is iamderkyi, with $85 on it, $129 lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $140 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $501
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $442
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$501 on it
- 1iamderkyi50% won of 2$85−$129 lifetime
- 2conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$73+$3.6K lifetime
- 3johnnath122248% won of 245 · whale$49+$4.0K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,863 · noise$48+$828K lifetime
- 5Licasamadaul64% won of 64 · balanced$41+$4.8K lifetime
No$442 on it
- 1Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$140−$377K lifetime
- 2RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$92+$819K lifetime
- 3Sadoshi52% won of 603$89−$1.4K lifetime
- 4Coucouloumse99% won of 93$29+$1.0K lifetime
- 5GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$28+$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
4 more- ≤46 and ≤192$20K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money split
- 50–52 and 208–222$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 47–49 and ≤192$14K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- 47–49 and 193–207$13K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $943 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is iamderkyi, with $85 on it, $129 lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Haradwaith, with $140 on it, $377K lifetime loss over 53,968 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 41% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.