Who's betting on “Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 66 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points.
Who holds it
66 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is lava-lava, with $240 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is conherence, with $523 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 415 markets (75% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $666
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$666 on it
- 1lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$240+$1.2M lifetime
- 2RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$107+$9.4K lifetime
- 3GayPride80% won of 672 · whale$62+$652K lifetime
- 4AxelTapper100% won of 1$48+$6 lifetime
- 50x5c161DC853Efa50C9Cd086A8B7b77B1696ca5387-172290663552775% won of 4$46−$238 lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$523+$3.6K lifetime
- 20xzipper75% won of 268 · whale$279+$36K lifetime
- 3Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,568$109−$20K lifetime
- 4acc4202049% won of 859 · whale$94+$12K lifetime
- 5GingerMcKenna36% won of 5,022 · noise$27+$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
4 more- ≤46 and ≤192$20K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money split
- 50–52 and 193–207$15K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- 50–52 and 208–222$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 47–49 and 193–207$13K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?"?
66 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Yes holder is lava-lava, with $240 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is conherence, with $523 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 415 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.