Who's betting on “Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.7K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 76% 35 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is g128, with $1.1K on it, $205 lifetime profit over 178 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is vyemfql, with $1.2K on it, $8.5K lifetime profit over 234 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.1K on it
- 1g12870% won of 178 · balanced$1.1K+$205 lifetime
- 2Golftango58% won of 387$493−$3.3K lifetime
- 3AxelTapper100% won of 1$315+$6 lifetime
- 4GayPride80% won of 672 · whale$205+$652K lifetime
- 5RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$163+$9.4K lifetime
No$3.6K on it
- 1vyemfql64% won of 234 · balanced$1.2K+$8.5K lifetime
- 20x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$849−$70K lifetime
- 30xfbdf…325655% won of 132 · balanced$565+$541 lifetime
- 4conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$417+$3.6K lifetime
- 5h03859602735584% won of 269 · whale$143+$16K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
4 more- 50–52 and 193–207$15K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- 50–52 and 208–222$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 47–49 and ≤192$14K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- 47–49 and 193–207$13K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 71 of them. The largest Yes holder is g128, with $1.1K on it, $205 lifetime profit over 178 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is vyemfql, with $1.2K on it, $8.5K lifetime profit over 234 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 28¢ and No at 72¢, a 72% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 76% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.